Friday, November 18, 2005

WEEK 12 Picks

With the season closing out and teams jockeying for bowl positions, many remaining games have big significance. Some are betting their BCS bowl hopes on the outcomes, while others are hoping for a chance at post season play, even if it is in the (Pick your sponsor) drizzling rain, yawn, is there something more interesting Bowl. Rivals go at it this week, and anything can happen. This may end up being one of my worst weeks, but hey it is all good, even if my reputation for picking is wrung out to dry.

Three upsets are on the docket this week. Well statistically they are upsets, IMO they are anomalies of the college football landscape.

TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA


Red Raiders have over the past month gone from Contender to Pretender, and last weeks game vs Oklahoma State only revealed vulnerabilities on the offensive line as well how fragile the skewed balance between running and throwing the ball really is. The Cowboys shut Techs running game down, and made the Redraiders even more one dimensional. As funny as this may sound, the solution to beating Texas Tech is forcing them to throw the ball (as if they needed encouragement to do so.) Oklahoma has been coming into their own over the course of the past month. Stringing together four conference wins in a row. Oklahoma should be up to the task having the ninth ranked rushing defense in the nation. Sooners continue to improve while Texas Tech takes a backseat in the Big XII while falling into that "getting votes" category.


ARKANSAS STATE at ARMY

To be honest does anyone sans those with ties to the USArmy really care about this game? Well having served in the Army myself, I have to admit that I really don't care about this game. It is just really hard to get up for a game between a Div IA imposter and a service academy that has stunk it up for almost a decade. Well the consolation is that at least the game will be held at West Point where the crowd will be twice the size of anything Arkansas State could possibly drum up. In any case, the statistics show the Indians winning this one, but I have to wonder just how savvy this team is vs Div IA outside the Sunbelt, even a lowly Black Knights team. While it won't be a pretty game, Arkansas State will find themselves wondering if anyone in their conference can win 6 games for that all important New Orleans Bowl. Black Knights of Army make it 4 W's in a row.


CLEMSON vs SOUTH CAROLINA

This game statistically sees the Clemson Tigers winning. This team has had allot of close calls this season, losing OT games vs Miami and BC. South Carolina started slowly, but has put together consistantly better looking victories over SEC opponants, and comes into this game riding a five game winning streak. This game is not in Death Valley, but the crowd will be just as loud as Gamecock fans will be out in mass numbers cheering on Spurrier's kids. This one is going to go back and forth with some ugly behavior as there is no love lost between these two teams for Dixie Dominance. South Carolina scratch and peck out a win in Columbia.

The rest of my picks for this week:

Last week 32-17 (.646) Season 236-116 (.670)

Teams in blue are picked to win. Teams in red are picked to win as upsets. Teams in green are picked to win even though match is picked as even.


ACC
Virginia Tech <-- Virginia
Boston College <-- Maryland
Middle Tennessee --> North Carolina State
Duke --> North Carolina
Clemson --> South Carolina
Georgia Tech --> Miami




Big East
Cincinnati --> South Florida
Syracuse --> Notre Dame




Big Ten
Northwestern <-- Illinois
Minnesota <-- Iowa
Purdue <-- Indiana
Ohio State <-- Michigan
Penn State <-- Michigan State




Big XII
Texas Tech --> Oklahoma
Oklahoma State EVEN Baylor
Missouri <-- Kansas State




C-USA
UCF <-- Rice
East Carolina EVEN Marshall
SMU --> Houston
UAB EVEN UTEP
Tulsa <-- Tulane
Memphis --> Southern Miss




MAC
Central Michigan <-- Ball State
Eastern Michigan <-- Buffalo
Miami-OH <-- Ohio




MWC
Air Force EVEN New Mexico
Utah EVEN BYU
Colorado State <-- UNLV
Wyoming EVEN San Diego State




PAC10
Washington State <-- Washington
Oregon State --> Oregon
California <-- Stanford
Fresno State --> USC




SEC
Kentucky --> Georgia
Vanderbilt EVEN Tennessee
Mississippi State --> Arkansas
Alabama EVEN Auburn
Clemson --> South Carolina
LSU <-- Mississippi




Sun Belt
Middle Tennessee --> North Carolina State
Arkansas State --> Army
W. Kentucky <-- FIU
La Monroe <-- North Texas




WAC
Idaho <-- Boise State
Nevada <-- Utah State
New Mexico State --> San Jose State
Fresno State --> USC

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